Alright, so here’s BBC’s report on Ahmadinejad’s last speach before the U.N. Security Council deadline and ElBaradei’s cooments. It says,
Mr ElBaradei told the Financial Times newspaper Iran could be only six months away from being able to enrich uranium on an industrial scale.
But he said “there’s a big difference between acquiring the knowledge for enrichment and developing a bomb”.
Here’s the original interview referred to here on Financial Times. A few things to note:
1. ElBaradei never says Iran is six months away from enrching uranium on an industrial scales. Here’s what he does say,
ElBaradei: My three priorities as I said are [for] Iran not to go to industrial capacity until the issues are settled, confidence is built, we need full inspection, involving additional protocol, and at all costs I would like to see Iran not moving out of the [treaty based non-proliferation] system. That would set a terrible precedent and I do not want them to come back in a couple of years and say: ‘Good morning gentlemen, we have nuclear weapons.’
The prospects of Iran achieving industrial scale enrichment.
FT: If you define industrial capacity as a cascade of 3,000 centrifuges or more, since if that was fully functioning it would take a year to get enough fissile material for a bomb, how far away do you think they are at the current stage of progress?
ElBaradei: I think they are still far away
FT: A year, two years?
ElBaradei: It’s difficult, I really like not to take numbers, to speculate, but away from what, from developing the three thousand [centrifuges]?
FT: From getting three thousand functioning smoothly.
ElBaradei: I don’t know, it could be a year, it could be six months. It could be a year, but we need to remember but as long as even they have 3,000 [centrifuges], as long as these 3,000 are under [NPT] safeguards, they cannot go beyond five per cent, people forget that… it’s really a risk assessment more of tomorrow more than it is of today…
If you read that carefully, what it says is that Iran could get the 3000 centrifuges up and running in 6 months, that it takes a year or two from that point on to enrich uranium on industrial scale, and that “as long as even they have 3,000 [centrifuges], as long as these 3,000 are under [NPT] safeguards, they cannot go beyond five per cent.”
2. It quotes ElBraradei saying, “there’s a big difference between acquiring the knowledge for enrichment and developing a bomb.” I fail to find that in the interview. He says that, “I think they are still far away [from making a bomb]” and that again, “as long as these 3,000 are under [NPT] safeguards, they cannot go beyond five per cent.”
Please don’t tell me they’re stupid. BBC seems to have joined the rest of the state media and is lying and exaggerating the Iranian issue. We have seen the dangerous consequences of this type of purposeful lying before.